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Emerging Tech & Niche Security

Quantum Threat Modeling & Crypto Agility

  • May 9, 2025
  • 0

Sherlocked Security – Quantum Threat Modeling & Crypto Agility

Preparing for Quantum Computing Risks by Implementing Crypto Agility for Future-Proof Security


1. Statement of Work (SOW)

Service Name: Quantum Threat Modeling & Crypto Agility
Client Type: Enterprises preparing for quantum computing impacts, financial institutions, government agencies, cloud providers, and organizations reliant on encryption.
Service Model: Project-Based Assessment & Retainer Advisory
Compliance Alignment: NIST SP 800-53, NIST SP 800-171, ISO/IEC 27001, GDPR, FIPS, and other regulatory frameworks.

Quantum Threat Modeling & Crypto Agility Includes:

  • Assessment of current cryptographic systems and protocols in the context of quantum computing threats
  • Analysis of quantum computing advancements and potential impact on encryption standards (e.g., RSA, ECC)
  • Quantum-safe cryptographic algorithms review and evaluation
  • Crypto agility implementation roadmap development for seamless algorithm transitions
  • Threat modeling of quantum computer capabilities and their potential to break existing cryptographic systems
  • Cryptographic key management strategy development for quantum-resistant algorithms
  • Review of current public key infrastructure (PKI) with a focus on quantum readiness
  • Testing and validation of quantum-resistant encryption algorithms
  • Advisory on implementing hybrid encryption strategies combining classical and quantum-safe algorithms
  • Continuous monitoring of quantum computing advancements and adapting cryptographic systems as needed

2. Our Approach

[Quantum Threat Landscape Assessment] → [Current Cryptographic Systems Evaluation] → [Quantum-Safe Algorithm Selection] → [Crypto Agility Strategy Development] → [Implementation of Hybrid Encryption Solutions] → [Testing & Validation] → [Continuous Quantum Threat Monitoring] → [Reporting & Recommendations]


3. Methodology

  • Quantum Threat Landscape Assessment:

    • Review the latest advancements in quantum computing and its implications on current cryptographic methods.
    • Study the potential for quantum computers to break widely-used encryption algorithms (e.g., RSA, ECC).
    • Identify the types of sensitive data and systems at risk of exposure due to quantum computing.
  • Current Cryptographic Systems Evaluation:

    • Evaluate the effectiveness of existing cryptographic systems (e.g., RSA, ECC, AES) in the face of quantum computing threats.
    • Assess the vulnerability of key management systems, digital signatures, and encryption keys to quantum attacks.
    • Review the current public key infrastructure (PKI) for quantum-readiness.
  • Quantum-Safe Algorithm Selection:

    • Review quantum-safe cryptographic algorithms such as lattice-based, hash-based, multivariate polynomial, and code-based algorithms.
    • Analyze and recommend the best quantum-safe algorithms based on the organization’s current encryption and performance needs.
    • Evaluate the maturity, efficiency, and security of post-quantum cryptography (PQC) algorithms for integration into existing systems.
  • Crypto Agility Strategy Development:

    • Design a crypto agility framework to allow seamless integration of quantum-safe algorithms alongside current cryptographic standards.
    • Develop a roadmap for transitioning to quantum-resistant cryptography when necessary.
    • Ensure that systems can dynamically switch between classical and quantum-safe algorithms without disruption.
  • Hybrid Encryption Solutions:

    • Implement hybrid encryption strategies that combine classical encryption methods with quantum-safe algorithms for enhanced security.
    • Evaluate hybrid solutions such as quantum-safe digital signatures, encryption, and key exchange protocols.
    • Ensure that quantum-safe algorithms are used for the most critical applications while maintaining performance.
  • Cryptographic Key Management Strategy:

    • Develop a strategy for managing quantum-resistant keys, including key rotation, revocation, and long-term storage strategies.
    • Design key management systems that can handle both classical and quantum-safe keys.
    • Recommend new PKI models that accommodate the integration of quantum-safe algorithms.
  • Testing & Validation:

    • Conduct testing and validation of quantum-resistant algorithms to ensure compatibility with existing systems.
    • Simulate quantum attacks to assess the effectiveness of post-quantum cryptographic solutions.
    • Perform a pilot implementation of quantum-safe algorithms in controlled environments.
  • Continuous Quantum Threat Monitoring:

    • Set up continuous monitoring to track quantum computing advancements and identify any changes in quantum capabilities that may affect cryptographic systems.
    • Regularly assess the state of quantum-safe algorithms and keep systems up to date with the latest advancements in PQC.
  • Reporting & Recommendations:

    • Provide a comprehensive report on the organization’s preparedness for quantum threats and the steps needed to ensure crypto agility.
    • Deliver actionable recommendations for integrating quantum-safe algorithms into the existing infrastructure.
    • Outline best practices for ensuring long-term cryptographic security against quantum threats.

4. Deliverables to the Client

  1. Quantum Threat Assessment Report: An in-depth analysis of the potential quantum risks facing the client’s cryptographic infrastructure.
  2. Crypto Agility Strategy Document: A roadmap detailing the steps to implement crypto agility, including algorithm selection and hybrid encryption approaches.
  3. Quantum-Safe Algorithm Review: A report evaluating various quantum-safe algorithms and recommending the most suitable options for the client.
  4. Cryptographic Key Management Plan: A strategy for managing quantum-resistant keys and integrating them into the current key management systems.
  5. Hybrid Encryption Implementation Report: Recommendations on implementing hybrid encryption solutions and testing their effectiveness in real-world scenarios.
  6. Testing & Validation Results: Documentation of the testing and validation of quantum-safe algorithms and their compatibility with existing systems.
  7. Continuous Monitoring & Adaptation Plan: A plan for ongoing monitoring and adaptation of cryptographic systems in light of advancements in quantum computing.

5. What We Need from You (Client Requirements)

  • Cryptographic Systems Overview: Information about the organization’s current cryptographic systems and protocols (e.g., RSA, ECC, AES).
  • Key Management Infrastructure Details: Details about the organization’s key management systems (e.g., PKI, key rotation practices).
  • Regulatory & Compliance Information: Documentation of relevant regulatory requirements regarding cryptographic practices (e.g., GDPR, HIPAA).
  • Threat Landscape Assessment: Insights into the types of data and systems the organization deems most critical to secure against quantum threats.
  • Technology Stack Overview: Information on the organization’s IT infrastructure and the types of systems relying on cryptography.

6. Tools & Technology Stack

  • Quantum Threat Analysis Tools:

    • Qiskit, IBM Quantum Experience for quantum threat simulations and quantum computing resources.
    • Post-Quantum Cryptography Tools: Open Quantum Safe, PQCrypto for testing and implementing quantum-resistant cryptographic algorithms.
  • Crypto Agility Frameworks:

    • CryptoLib, OpenSSL for supporting hybrid encryption and crypto agility frameworks.
    • NIST PQC Algorithms: Lattice-based, code-based, and multivariate-based algorithms for quantum-safe encryption.
  • Key Management Systems:

    • Vault, AWS KMS for managing encryption keys with hybrid quantum-safe support.
    • Thales CipherTrust for multi-layered encryption key management.
  • Cryptographic Testing Tools:

    • OpenSSL for testing quantum-safe algorithms and evaluating their performance.
    • Post-Quantum Cryptography Libraries for implementing and testing post-quantum algorithms in real-world use cases.

7. Engagement Lifecycle

  1. Kickoff & Scoping: Understand the client’s existing cryptographic systems and quantum threat preparedness.
  2. Quantum Threat Modeling: Identify potential quantum threats and assess the vulnerabilities in existing encryption systems.
  3. Quantum-Safe Algorithm Review: Select and evaluate quantum-safe algorithms for integration into the existing cryptographic infrastructure.
  4. Crypto Agility Strategy Development: Develop a roadmap for crypto agility, ensuring a smooth transition to quantum-safe algorithms.
  5. Hybrid Encryption Solution Implementation: Implement hybrid encryption strategies, ensuring compatibility with both classical and quantum-safe algorithms.
  6. Key Management Strategy: Develop a comprehensive strategy for managing quantum-resistant keys.
  7. Testing & Validation: Test and validate the integration of quantum-safe algorithms in controlled environments.
  8. Continuous Monitoring: Set up a system for continuous monitoring of quantum computing advancements and system readiness.
  9. Reporting & Recommendations: Provide actionable insights and strategic recommendations for improving crypto agility.

8. Why Sherlocked Security?

Feature Sherlocked Advantage
Comprehensive Quantum Threat Modeling In-depth analysis of quantum threats and their impact on cryptographic systems
Crypto Agility Strategy Tailored strategies for transitioning to quantum-safe algorithms without disrupting existing systems
Quantum-Safe Algorithm Evaluation Expert recommendations on the most effective quantum-resistant algorithms for your environment
Hybrid Encryption Solutions Implementation of hybrid solutions combining quantum-safe and classical algorithms for superior protection
Key Management & Crypto Agility Seamless integration of quantum-safe keys into existing key management systems for future-proof security
Continuous Monitoring & Adaptation Ongoing monitoring of quantum advancements to keep your cryptographic systems ahead of emerging threats

9. Real-World Case Studies

Financial Institution’s Quantum Threat Preparation

Client: A global financial institution.
Challenge: Prepare for quantum computing advancements potentially breaking existing cryptographic systems protecting sensitive financial data.
Solution: Implemented a crypto agility framework, transitioning to quantum-safe encryption methods and hybrid encryption for critical financial applications.
Outcome: The institution is now equipped with a flexible encryption strategy, capable of evolving as quantum computing capabilities grow.

Government Agency Quantum-Ready Infrastructure

Client: A government agency dealing with classified information.
Challenge: Secure classified data against quantum threats while maintaining compliance with federal encryption standards.
Solution: Developed and deployed a quantum-safe key management strategy, and transitioned critical systems to post-quantum algorithms.
Outcome: The agency is now better prepared for the future of quantum computing while ensuring regulatory compliance and national security.


10. SOP – Standard Operating Procedure

  1. Initial Engagement: Understand the cryptographic systems in use and the quantum threat landscape.
  2. Quantum Threat Modeling: Assess quantum risks to the organization’s cryptographic infrastructure and identify key vulnerabilities.
  3. Quantum-Safe Algorithm Review: Evaluate post-quantum cryptographic algorithms for suitability in the organization’s environment.
  4. Crypto Agility Strategy Development: Develop a clear strategy for integrating quantum-safe algorithms into the existing infrastructure.
  5. Hybrid Encryption Solution Implementation: Implement hybrid encryption solutions to ensure smooth operation during the transition to quantum-safe algorithms.
  6. Key Management Strategy: Ensure proper management and protection of quantum-resistant keys.
  7. Testing & Validation: Conduct extensive testing of new quantum-safe algorithms in real-world scenarios.
  8. Continuous Monitoring: Continuously monitor quantum computing advancements and adapt the cryptographic strategy as needed.
  9. Reporting & Recommendations: Provide the client with a detailed report on their quantum preparedness and next steps.

11. Quantum Threat Modeling & Crypto Agility Readiness Checklist

1. Pre-Engagement Preparation

  • [ ] Overview of current cryptographic systems and algorithms (RSA, ECC, AES, etc.)
  • [ ] Key management infrastructure details (e.g., PKI, key rotation practices)
  • [ ] Regulatory compliance requirements regarding cryptographic methods (e.g., GDPR, HIPAA)
  • [ ] Critical data and systems identification for quantum threat modeling

2. During Engagement

  • [ ] Conduct a thorough analysis of quantum computing advancements and their impact on current encryption protocols
  • [ ] Review quantum-safe algorithms and their applicability to the client’s systems
  • [ ] Develop a crypto agility strategy and roadmap for integrating quantum-safe algorithms
  • [ ] Implement hybrid encryption solutions to enhance system security during the transition

3. Post-Review Actions

  • [ ] Finalize the quantum-safe algorithm selection and integrate into critical systems
  • [ ] Ensure proper management of quantum-resistant keys and update PKI models
  • [ ] Test and validate new cryptographic implementations to ensure seamless operation

4. Continuous Improvement

  • [ ] Continuously monitor advancements in quantum computing to adapt security protocols
  • [ ] Regularly update encryption systems and algorithms as quantum computing capabilities evolve
  • [ ] Perform regular risk assessments to identify new quantum threats and mitigate them proactively
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